Operational Handbooks

2.4.4 Potential total yield of true TB cases

Fig. 3 shows the potential yield of screening in a range of hypothetical risk groups with a range of relative risks of TB (assuming 100% coverage, acceptance of screening, sensitivity and specificity of screening). As illustrated in Fig. 2.2, the yield of TB screening in a specific risk group (in terms of the number of TB cases detected; y axis) depends on both the size of the risk group (i.e. the prevalence of the risk factor in the general population; x axis) and the relative risk of TB for that risk group (z axis).

2.2.3 Epidemiology of TB

The main purpose of an epidemiological assessment is to identify gaps in TB case detection and opportunities for addressing those gaps through screening. The assessment should account for potential benefits, risks and costs of systematic screening, particularly in relation to other possible interventions. The analysis should be disaggregated by age, sex and geographical location, and special attention should be paid to vulnerable groups that are at high risk for exposure and/or progression to TB disease or are likely to face barriers to accessing TB services, or both.

2.1 Introduction

The two complementary approaches for improving early detection of TB are illustrated in Fig. 2.1 The primary approach is to optimize the patient-initiated pathway to TB diagnosis and treatment (for details see 2.1.1). This approach does not constitute screening and is a passive form of case detection.